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NBA+·West

Seattle (NBA expansion)

League expansion process

Valuation
$8.5B
Turnover
82
Opportunity
82
Time band
0–5 yr

EXPANSION — bids 2026, play ~2028-29 (~$7-10B fee) · as of 2026-06-20 · confidence High

Why it's here

New NBA franchise, no incumbent owner — open, league-run process. Kraken's Holloway leading a Seattle bid (advised by JPMorgan/Moelis).

Open, league-run process; no incumbent. ~$7-10B fee, play ~2028-29. Move: assemble a league-credible group and engage the NBA's advisor (PJT Partners).

Advisor: NBA process (advisor: PJT Partners)

How the score is built

Active signal
5/5 · 20 pts
Structure
5/5 · 10 pts
Owner age
1/5 · 0 pts
Succession
1/5 · 0 pts
Recency
1/5 · 0 pts
Instability
1/5 · 0 pts
A situation-specific floor adds 52 points on top of the drivers.

Control openness 5/5 · entry openness 5/5

Odds over time

68%
by year 5
90%
by year 10
99%
by year 20

Modelled chance the controlling stake reaches the market by each year. The shaded band is your current horizon (5–10 yr).

Your moves

  1. This year

    Assemble a Seattle-anchored ownership group and engage PJT Partners — bids open 2026.

  2. 1–3 yr

    Win the seat (~$7–10B fee) and shape the arena/media package before tip-off.

  3. 3–7 yr

    First-cycle expansion equity typically re-rates 30–50%; the entry price looks cheap by 2030.

History and links

  • Linked asset: ⇄ Las Vegas (same wave)
  • LP on-ramp: none

Strategic estimate for exploratory purposes only — not investment advice, not an offer, and not affiliated with or endorsed by any league or team. Ownership facts move quickly; verify before acting.