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NBA·South

Miami Heat

Micky Arison · age 77

Valuation
$5.1B
Turnover
45
Opportunity
18
Time band
10–15 yr

Son Nick Arison involved · as of 2026-06-20 · confidence Med

Why it's here

Aging; partial succession toward Nick.

No active path; family/stable ownership. Monitor for succession or distress; a minority stake is the only likely opening.

How the score is built

Owner age
4/5 · 22 pts
Succession
3/5 · 13 pts
Recency
4/5 · 8 pts
Structure
2/5 · 3 pts
Active signal
1/5 · 0 pts
Instability
1/5 · 0 pts

Control openness 2/5 · entry openness 2/5

Odds over time

41%
by year 5
65%
by year 10
88%
by year 20

Modelled chance the controlling stake reaches the market by each year. The shaded band is your current horizon (5–10 yr).

Your moves

  1. This year

    Stable family ownership — nothing to act on today.

  2. 3–7 yr

    Keep a soft line into the front office and the league; major-market names shift on personal events, not schedules.

  3. 7–15 yr

    Realistic only if a next-generation transfer or forced-sale event opens the door.

Strategic estimate for exploratory purposes only — not investment advice, not an offer, and not affiliated with or endorsed by any league or team. Ownership facts move quickly; verify before acting.