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NBA+·West

Las Vegas (NBA expansion)

League expansion process

Valuation
$8.5B
Turnover
82
Opportunity
82
Time band
0–5 yr

EXPANSION — bids 2026, play ~2028-29 (~$7-10B fee) · as of 2026-06-20 · confidence High

Why it's here

New NBA franchise, open league process. Multiple Las Vegas groups expected. (NBA Europe, ~12 teams, separate channel, fall 2027.)

Open, league-run process; no incumbent. ~$7-10B fee, play ~2028-29. Multiple groups expected. Move: assemble a league-credible group early.

Advisor: NBA process (advisor: PJT Partners)

How the score is built

Active signal
5/5 · 20 pts
Structure
5/5 · 10 pts
Owner age
1/5 · 0 pts
Succession
1/5 · 0 pts
Recency
1/5 · 0 pts
Instability
1/5 · 0 pts
A situation-specific floor adds 52 points on top of the drivers.

Control openness 5/5 · entry openness 5/5

Odds over time

68%
by year 5
90%
by year 10
99%
by year 20

Modelled chance the controlling stake reaches the market by each year. The shaded band is your current horizon (5–10 yr).

Your moves

  1. This year

    Multiple Vegas groups are already forming — decide whether to lead one or align as anchor LP with the strongest bid.

  2. 1–3 yr

    Win the seat or the LP slot; Vegas media/tourism upside is priced lower than Seattle by the market.

  3. 3–7 yr

    Ride the expansion equity re-rate; use the seat to angle for NBA Europe in the 2027 wave.

History and links

  • Linked asset: ⇄ Seattle (same wave)
  • LP on-ramp: none

Strategic estimate for exploratory purposes only — not investment advice, not an offer, and not affiliated with or endorsed by any league or team. Ownership facts move quickly; verify before acting.